Archive for April, 2009

Strategic Relationships, What Makes Great Business Development

Great business development is making a relationship where both companies win.

If you are doing a deal that is more of an auction.  Like MySpace search traffic auctioned to Google and Microsoft.  One company might have a strategic reason to pay.  Competitive juices might start flowing and a bidding war may take off.  But.  This isn’t great business development in my opinion.  In most deals I see like this end.  One side becomes disenchanted and wants out.  Or.  They opt out at the first chance.  Or.  They ask to restructure.  Deals like this aren’t sustainable and are short sighted.

Great business development isn’t about getting a great deal.  It’s about creating a great relationship.  A relationship that stands the test of time. A relationship that is a win win.

Repurposed and Aggregated Content for SEO to Grow Search Queries?

It looks like more and more search engines are trying to create rich search engine results pages by re-purposing and aggregating content, but instead of building query volume via their own destination site, they are trying to drive traffic via search engine optimization.

AOL has launched Love with about 117,000 pages now indexed by Google.  SEO wise, they’ve done it a bit differently where each page appears to be getting its own subdomain, so Google thinks of each page from Love as a separate site.  Love has some decent links to it already and is getting some traffic via search engines.

Kosmix recently had some press about it’s growth, but I’m interested in how much of its growth is people navigating to the site vs clicking on SERPs from Google.  Compete shows about 10% of traffic coming from Yahoo which is high, but less coming from Google, which is not normal - so maybe they are building direct traffic or Google just kicked in for them.

Mahalo, which is mostly links and handbuily SERPs has about 144,000 pages in Googles index and Compete shows 43% coming from Google.  This isn’t as high as About.com (48%), but it does show that a significant portion of the sites traffic comes from search engines.

SEO Book points out how Brands are using their equity to get low quality pages traffic from Google.   While this may grow traffic in the short term, I think it’s a highly suspect tactic for showing growth in search - Google frowns on other people’s SERPs in their SERPs.  At the end of the day, these are content sites.  Which is fine.  Great content should be found in SERPs.  However, regurgited content that is mashed up to create something “unique” is not great.  Why not invest in high quality unique content?  Or build platforms like we did with HubPages or WordPress to allow others to create content.  In the long run, you’re more likely to have an asset that reliably drives traffic from search engines by taking the unique content path then going after the highly scalable, but dangerous way of auto generating pages.

The Perception of Graphs - How to Make a Graph that Gives the Appearance of Dramatic Growth

Graphs are a powerful marketing tool since the image can tell an amazing story.  In the case of many web 2.0 companies, you may have seen the story of Twitters amazing growth.  However, you have to really read the numbers - I’m not saying Twitters growth isn’t crazy impressive, just that graphs can tell a story to your eyes, but if you read the data it’s actually very different.

HubPages has had excellent growth since it’s launch in August 2006.  Google analytics shows that HubPages has nearly 14 million visitors per month and nearly 40 million page views.  I’m putting a presentation on HubPages together that shows the growth of Hubs and how it correlates to page view growth.  The three images below have the exact same data, all on the same scale.  The only difference is the rise and run of the graph are changed based on how I format the slide to the graph.

1.  The first image shows how the graph looks when you paste it directly from Excel to Powerpoint.  It shows excellent growth, but there’s not much room to write bullets for the slide.  Let’s see what the graph looks like if I decrease the rise of the graph. (click image to enlarge)

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2.  Image two shows that I’ve decreased the rise of the graph.  I now have a nice space above for bullets.  But.  The graph doesn’t illustrate the excellent growth of HubPages.  Note the data is absolutley the same between the first image and the second.  Let’s see how the graph looks if I decrease the run of the slide so I have room to the side for bullet points…

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3.  The image below is the exact same data as the data in the first images, but I’ve decreased the run.  By decreasing the run of the graph, it gives the appearance of much more dramatic growth.  This is the power of appearance.

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YieldBuild Premium Text Ads with Microsoft PubCenter

Today we are launching the availability of Microsoft PubCenter ads (TechCrunch calls it a back door into PubCenter for Publishers that want into the beta of Microsoft’s ad network) through the YieldBuild Premium Text Ad Program (PTAP).  PubCenter is Microsoft’s contextual ad network that competes with the likes of Google AdSense. Publishers can signup at YieldBuild and add PTAP to their list of ad networks now.

We find that publishers of all sizes are hungry for more monetization choices.  Besides AdSense, there are very few choices for small bloggers, forums, and other content sites.  PubCenter is an excellent addition for these types of sites.  For publishers with longer content pages, we have found that five to six ad locations maximizes revenues between PubCenter and AdSense.

We are excited to be working with PubCenter to combine their ad network with our YieldBuild Formatting Technology and our ad network managment.  Congratulations to the team at YieldBuild for launching this beta.  Nice work everyone!

SEO Fundamental Guide

AdSense published the best SEO Fundamental Guide I’ve seen.  If you’re building a site, I’d read this before I start.

It Takes a larger Percentage Increase To Match The Same Percetage Decrease

This is simple stuff.  But.  Many people don’t do that math on investments.  If you invest a $100 and the market goes down 50% you have $50.  Now.  If the market goes up 50% from here.  You now have $75.  After 50% down, 50% up isn’t the same.

If you have a $100 investment and it goes down 10% you have $90.  If it goes up 10% you have $99.  The smaller the loss, the closer the same percentage increase gets you whole.

Many people I know lost about 35% in the market decrease.  So if they had $100, they now have about $65.  If the market goes up 35% they have about $88.  They still need it to go up another 14% to be whole again.  But you can’t simpley add 14% plus 35% and say the market has to go up 49% to get you whole.  The market actually has to go up about 54% to get back to your $100 after a 35% decrease.

Getting To Scale with Few People

Web based businesses have the ability to be incredibly efficient.  For ad supported businesses or new types of services, there are two phases.  Phase one is getting the adoption and distribution.  Phase two is monetizing the distribution by getting the business model fit to the product.

During phase one, I think it’s important to be as lean and as efficient as possible.  At this stage, you are spending money, but not making any.  Web based businesses lend themselves nicely to achieving large distribution with few people and low cost (assuming you don’t have massive infrastructure needs like a search engine, storage company, or someone that streams a ton).  Do this as leanly as you can.  First, the longer you can extend, the more scale you can achieve and more product iterations can be completed.  Second, you’ll need time and money to figure out the business model once you have scale.

If you spend too quickly, which for many web based businesses is highly correlated to hiring too much, you’re likely to find yourself in a very difficult position.  Too many engineers before you know exactly what to build, and too many sales or business development people before you know how you’ll monetize are the grim reaper of businesses.

My recommendation is to build incrementally, hire as few people as possible.  But. Once you see the scale kick in, move to figuring out the business model. Hire one person.  Get the proof points and figure out how to scale.  Then.  Once the distribution is kicking and the business model is working.  Scale it as quickly as possible.  But until then.  Be as lean as you can.

Here are two quick examples.  Let’s say your are building a vertical content site for women’s health issues.  The plan is to build an audience and then monetize it with brand ads.  Phase one is to build the audience to a size where you can attract a brand advertiser.  Say that’s 2 million uniques per month.  To get to this level of uniques, it’s going to take some time.  Watch at your cash, analyze your traffic growth and make sure you are within one quarter of having 2 million uniques before hiring a sales person.  Then.  Hire one sales person.  Get money coming in the door before hiring account managers, ad ops etc.  Only hire the support people once the revenue is coming in the door.

Example two is say you have a new service like Twitter.  Maybe it will be add supported, maybe subscription, maybe there’s a paid search model in there, maybe sponsored tweets.  Who knows exactly what the model will be.  But.  You do know that you have a media darling.  People love it.  And.  You’re scaling your audience rapidly.  What you don’t want to do is go hire a large sales organization when you are not sure how the ultimate business model will fit your product or service.  Hire one person that is responsible for designing very small scale monetization tests.  Run tests.  Measure the results.  Find out what can scale and then build from there.  If you hire big too soon, you are most likely to spend a lot of money and not have much to show for it.

Business Model Fit to Product

I’ve been thinking more about business model fit to product and how to make a good big business.  You may be asking what business model fit to product is.  It is simply a very efficient and scalable way of making money that is highly symbiotic to your product and the intent of your users.

A few examples of great business model fit to product are advertisers purchasing search keywords on Google.  People search more on Google than any other place.  Advertisers wanted to be on those pages and were willing to pay to be there because they wanted to have their offers present at the exact moment someone was searching for their product, service or information they provide.  Craigslist is another example.  Jobs are a highly localized market.  Tons of people organized by city use CL to find local items.  For the most part, people post items they want to sell by category and people looking for those items browse the categories for things they want.  CL tapped into the jobs market by charging businesses to post jobs.  Finding talented people in local markets is very valuable to employers (We find our best talent on CL) and it costs much less than posting other places with better results.  In short CL and Google return very positive results for their paying customers.  At the same time, you won’t find paying advertisers on Google for non commercial search terms and CL only charges the businesses to post jobs.  They don’t charge individuals for posting items for sale or post the paid job listings on the right side of the page with the free posts.  The business model doesn’t fit for this portion of their site.

There are plenty of examples where there isn’t a business model to product fit yet.  For example, take sponsored links on the side of Facebook.  This model worked very well for Google, but it’s not working nearly as well for Facebook.  The reason is the products are so different.  With different products comes different user intent.  The intent then drives the success of the business model.  The Bellagio Hotel wants to be on the page when someone searches for four star hotels in Las Vegas, but it’s much less important for them to be on a FB profile page for someone that has a friend in Las Vegas.

There are lot’s of big sites that are working on solving the business model fit to product challenge.  Facebook, YouTube and Twitter come to mind.  I also think that companies that are heavily dependent upon advertising are realizing that that the business model fit to product may have not been as good as they thought.

Certain Things I Look for When Considering to Start a Business

Before I co-founded HubPages.com, I came up with a framework to help me work through various online business ideas.  If the business idea passed the framework checklist, I’d consider doing it.

Here are a few of the questions in the framework -If I could only find the original spreadsheet:)

1.  Can traffic be acquired inexpensively?  Either by natural SEO, or viral signups.  Yes is required to move forward

2. Does it require inventory risk?  For example, if I was going to sell something did I have to carry inventory.  If I did, it failed the test.

3. Were there established competitors?  If the answer to this is yes, was my idea substantially different/better.  If there were more than 5, then it failed.

4.  Is content created professionally or by users?  If it requires professional content, it fails.  Professional content implies a high cost of content.

5.  Is the market fragmented and can it be aggregated?  For example, HubPages is a content site, but the content can be rolled up under one site.  Not only can all the entertainment content be organized, but so can all the health and pet content.

6.  Is there a clear business model that lines up under online advertising, affiliate marketing, subscription services, lead generation, eccommerce, saas, support (open source)  or other successful categories like dating and jobs?  My thinking is there are actually just a few ways to really make money.  You have to sell something at some level and there are only a few categories where there are enough dollars available online to make a big business.  To get those dollars, you have to have what I call business model fit to product and scale (especially for an ad supported business).

What Every Online Business Needs

We all need a way to make money, but we don’t have to make money from everything we do.  What we need is a cash cow for one thing.  The rest we can give away for free.

Craigslist charges for jobs and is rumored to bring in $100 million.  People say Craigslist doesn’t care about making money, but I think they do.  They just focus on the piece that is super efficient - charging businesses for job listings and landlords for apartment listings in a few markets.  I’ve seen it speculated that they could make many millions more from ads.  Hmmm.  I don’t think that’s really the case.  Quantcast shows CL at around 45 million US visitors.  My estimate is that they could make about 12 - 16 million if they added AdSense to their pages.  That’s roughly 15% more money, but not so much money that it’s worth the risk of putting off the community, slowing down the site, and competing with their listers that ultimately bring people in so that the section of their site people pay for has real value.

They have their cash cow and the rest is free.